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Navigating Inflation: How Data-Driven Pricing Strategies Boosted Revenue

In today’s ever-evolving business landscape, staying ahead of the curve is essential. This is especially true during periods of inflation when costs are rising, and businesses must make critical decisions about their pricing strategies. In this case study, we explore how a client facing the challenges of inflation successfully harnessed data-driven strategies to not only survive but thrive in a challenging economic environment.

The Challenge

Our client, a multinational FMCG company operating in a dynamic market, found itself grappling with the impact of inflation. Rising costs were eroding profit margins, and they needed a solution to determine how a price increase would affect their products while minimizing volume loss. Their goal was clear: make informed pricing decisions to safeguard revenue and market share.

Our Solution

Our engagement with the client started by conducting an exhaustive workshop to determine the optimal brand, price and packaging alternatives for selected channels. The pivotal turning point in our collaboration materialized with the creation of a sophisticated simulation tool. This tool seamlessly fused econometric modeling, leveraging historical data, with choice-based conjoint analysis (CBC). This fusion allowed us to rigorously assess and execute a multitude of ‘what-if’ scenarios, integrating three pivotal components:

1. Macro-economic Indicators (Inflation)

Consumer price perceptions change in response to varying inflation rates. Our simulator seamlessly incorporated inflation into our. Equipped with this valuable insight, our clients were empowered to make pricing decisions that remained closely aligned with the prevailing economic conditions

2. Category Volume Changes

By incorporating historical data, we predicted how changes in pricing would impact the total category volüme (a limitation of conjoinrt methods). This allowed the client to tailor their pricing adjustments to minimize volume loss, ensuring a smoother transition.

3. Seasonality of Products

Recognizing the importance of seasonality, our simulation tool factored in the natural fluctuations in demand for the client’s products throughout the year. This ensured that pricing strategies were not only responsive to inflation but also aligned with seasonal changes of market demand.

The Outcome

Our efforts delivered remarkable results:

Significant Revenue Uplift: By utilizing data-driven insights, we identified a substantial increase in revenue. The client achieved their primary objective of maximizing revenue while keeping volume loss to a minimum. Optimium Brand Package Price (OBPPC) was also determined for selected channels.

Long-term Sustainability: One year after the project’s completion, the simulation tool we developed remains in active use, boasting a remarkable forecast accuracy of 90–95%. It has proven to be an enduring asset, continuously empowering the client to make informed pricing decisions.


This case study is a testament to the power of data-driven decision-making. In an environment where inflation threatened to erode profits and market share, our client not only weathered the storm but emerged stronger. By leveraging a sophisticated simulation tool that considered macro-economic indicators, category volume changes, and product seasonality, they made pricing decisions that were not only profitable but also sustainable.

In today’s fast-paced business world, the ability to adapt and thrive in challenging conditions is a hallmark of success. This case study demonstrates that with the right strategy and tools, businesses can not only survive inflationary periods but find opportunities for growth and long-term prosperity. The story of our client is a testament to the enduring value of data-driven decision-making in today’s dynamic markets.