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Category: Marketing Mix Modelling

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Maximizing Mobile App Downloads: A Comprehensive Marketing Budget Allocation Case Study


In the fiercely competitive world of consumer goods, our client, a globally renowned multinational company, embarked on a mission to optimize their marketing budget allocation to achieve the highest possible return on investment (ROI) for their newly developed mobile app. They were determined to answer a pivotal question: “Where should our marketing budgets be directed to maximize mobile app downloads?” To tackle this challenge head-on, they turned to our expertise.

The Challenge:

Our client was resolute in their pursuit of identifying the most effective strategies for driving mobile app downloads among many available marketing channels. The challenge they posed was as follows:

  • Marketing Budget Allocation: Determine the most efficient allocation of marketing budgets to maximize mobile app downloads, optimizing the utilization of resources while driving significant download growth.

Our Solution:

To provide our client with in-depth, data-driven insights, we devised a comprehensive marketing mix modeling approach. In this approach, the mobile app download rate served as the dependent variable, while online and offline media spend were treated as independent variables.

Harnessing the power of Genetic Algorithms, we embarked on the exploration of hundreds of marketing mix models, which encompassed a multitude of variables. This sophisticated technique enabled us to simulate various investment scenarios, unveiling the strategies that promised the highest returns.

Our approach seamlessly integrated extensive data sources, including mobile app download rates, unique daily user open rates, granular media investment data encompassing both digital and conventional channels, and an exhaustive marketing activity calendar.

The Outcome:

Our dedicated efforts led to remarkable outcomes:

  • Identification of Most Effective Marketing Activities: We pinpointed the marketing activities that had the greatest influence in driving mobile app downloads, empowering our client with actionable insights to fine-tune their strategies.
  • Granular Campaign Impact Analysis: Beyond merely identifying effective activities, we successfully quantified the impact of each campaign on mobile app downloads. This provided our client with invaluable insights into the precise effectiveness of their marketing efforts, enabling them to fine-tune their campaigns with precision.

Impact and Utilization:

Armed with the findings and insights we provided; our client was well-equipped to make informed, data-backed decisions:

  • Strategic Marketing Investment: Our client was able to pinpoint the right marketing investments to propel mobile app downloads to new heights, optimizing their budget allocation for maximum impact.
  • Remarkable Download Growth: By implementing the strategies we recommended, our client achieved a remarkable 30-40% increase in mobile app downloads, all while maintaining the same level of marketing investment.


Our client’s satisfaction with the results speaks volumes about the effectiveness of our approach. They not only achieved their goal of maximizing mobile app downloads but also recognized the tangible value of data-driven decision-making in their marketing endeavors. This success story has fostered an ongoing partnership, as our client continues to entrust us with new projects, confident in our ability to provide data-driven solutions that drive tangible, sustainable success.

This comprehensive case study serves as a testament to the power of strategic marketing mix modeling, underpinned by Genetic Algorithms. It demonstrates how businesses can optimize their marketing budget allocation, achieving substantial improvements in ROI, and realizing their growth objectives through data-driven decision-making and strategic insights.

Navigating Economic Uncertainty: A Data-Driven Success Story

In a world where economic conditions can change in the blink of an eye, understanding consumer behavior and market dynamics is paramount for businesses. Our recent collaboration with a forward-thinking client brought us face to face with two pivotal questions:

  • How do vulnerable economic conditions impact consumers’ purchasing power?
  • What shifts in consumer expenses occur when household incomes decrease during economic challenges?

Our mission was clear: delve into the intricate relationship between household expenditures and consumer choices, shedding light on how economic conditions shape purchasing habits.

Our Solution: A Data-Driven Journey

To tackle this complex challenge, we embarked on a data-driven journey that combined the best of analytics and advanced modeling techniques. Our approach included:

  • Data Fusion: Merging internal company and retail audit data with external economic and demographic indicators, we painted a comprehensive picture of the economic landscape.
  • Econometric Mastery: We applied Generative Additive Modeling and Machine Learning algorithms, selecting the most suitable method for the task to ensure robust results.

The Outcomes: Insights That Drive Success

Our efforts bore fruit, providing our client with a treasure trove of insights:

  • Economic & Demographic Impact: We unveiled the economic and demographic factors directly affecting both total category volumes and our client’s market share. The main question of how economic conditions impact purchasing power was also addressed.
  • Price Elasticities: By studying price elasticities, we discerned how changes in prices affected our client’s products and those of their competitors.
  • Unraveling Complex Relationships: We untangled the web of relationships between various economic and demographic variables, illuminating how they influenced category and brand volumes.
  • Scenario Forecasting Tool: We developed a powerful simulation tool that empowers our client to input economic and demographic variables, enabling them to forecast category and brand volumes accurately.

Impact and Ongoing Utilization

The impact of our work resonated throughout our client’s operations:

  • Identifying Critical Factors: We pinpointed the internal and external factors with the most significant impact on category and brand volumes.
  • Strategic Scenario Planning: Our simulation tool has become an indispensable part of our client’s strategic planning, enabling them to anticipate shifts in economic and demographic indicators and competitor actions.
  • Validation Over Time: We meticulously tracked our forecasts against actual market conditions for nearly a year on a quarterly basis, consistently achieving an impressive accuracy rate of 85-95%.
  • Long-term Value: Today, our client continues to rely on our simulation tool for scenario planning, ensuring they remain agile and responsive in a dynamic economic landscape.

In conclusion, this case study serves as a testament to the power of data-driven decision-making in the modern business landscape. By harnessing advanced analytics and a vast dataset, our client gained a competitive edge and the ability to navigate economic uncertainty with confidence.

In a world where change is the only constant, businesses armed with data-driven insights are not just surviving but thriving. The journey from questions to insights to action is a testament to the transformative potential of data analytics in business strategy.

Unlocking Marketing Excellence: A Case Study in Optimizing Short and Long Term ROI for a Multinational Consumer Goods Giant

In the fast-paced world of consumer goods, staying ahead of the competition requires not just smart marketing, but razor-sharp precision in budget allocation. Our client, a renowned multinational consumer goods company with a global presence, faced the daunting task of optimizing their marketing investment. They sought to allocate their budgets to areas that promised the highest Return on Investment (ROI) while also understanding the profound impact of long-term brand investments. To tackle this challenge head-on, they turned to us.

The Challenge:

Our client was determined to answer two pivotal questions:

  • Marketing Budget Allocation: Where should their marketing budgets be directed to maximize ROI?
  • Long-term Brand Investment: What is the true impact of long-term brand investment, and how can it be optimized?

Our Solution:

We devised a comprehensive solution that combined cutting-edge methodologies and harnessed a wealth of data sources:   Genetic Algorithm + Structural Equation Modelling (SEM)

  • Genetic Algorithm: We harnessed the power of Genetic Algorithms to explore hundreds of marketing mix models incorporating numerous variables. This allowed us to identify the most effective strategies by simulating different investment scenarios.
  • Structural Equation Modelling (SEM): SEM, on the other hand, enabled us to create latent variables. By measuring both direct and indirect impacts and providing standardized beta coefficients, it helped us paint a clear picture of the complex web of relationships in the consumer goods market.

We leveraged a rich tapestry of data sources to run the marketing mix modelling, including: Internal sales data, Media investment data (digital and conventional), Marketing activity calendar, Market share and distribution data, Competitor’s distribution, price, and activity data, External factors and Brand tracking data.

The Outcome:

Our efforts bore fruit in a multitude of ways:

  • Short-Term Sales Drivers: We successfully identified the key drivers of short-term sales, shedding light on the factors behind changes in sales over previous years.
  • Effective Marketing Activities: We pinpointed the marketing activities that were most effective in driving short-term sales, providing our client with actionable insights to refine their strategies.
  • Long-Term Brand Health: Crucially, our analysis also uncovered the activities that contributed to the long-term health of their brands. This holistic view allowed our client to align their marketing efforts with their overarching brand goals.

Impact and Utilization:

Armed with our findings, our client was empowered to define their marketing plans for the upcoming year with unprecedented precision. Moreover, we delivered a simulator that enabled them to run numerous ‘what-if’ scenarios, helping them visualize the impact of different marketing activities on their bottom line.

Notably, the client achieved their budgeted sales targets while realizing a remarkable 8% reduction in their marketing expenditures. This achievement underscores the model’s ability to optimize resource allocation and enhance cost-effectiveness in their marketing strategies, exemplifying its capacity to drive results across diverse markets.

Furthermore, owing to the resounding success witnessed in our initial selected market, the client strategically expanded the utilization of our model to various other markets within their global portfolio. This decision was underpinned by the demonstrable effectiveness and reliability of our model, which provided invaluable insights and recommendations that transcended geographical boundaries and proved instrumental in enhancing marketing performance on a global scale.


In a rapidly evolving consumer goods landscape, staying competitive requires data-driven insights and innovative methodologies. Our successful collaboration with this multinational consumer goods leader stands as a testament to the power of Genetic Algorithms and Structural Equation Modelling in shaping marketing strategies that optimize ROI and drive long-term brand success.

Are you ready to unlock the full potential of your marketing investments? Contact us today to embark on your journey towards marketing excellence.